National League South | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 1
Truro City

Higgs (84'), Fielding (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hinds (65')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South

Truro City

All competitions
Last Game: St Albans City 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawTruro City
48.46% (0.043000000000006 0.04)24.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.24% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (0.013999999999996 0.01)46.02% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (0.012 0.01)68.32% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.018999999999991 0.02)19.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.32% (0.036999999999999 0.04)50.67% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)30.66% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)66.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 48.46%
    Truro City 27.25%
    Draw 24.29%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawTruro City
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.03% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 11.45%
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 27.25%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Truro City
1-2
Tonbridge Angels
Greenslade (90+8')
Harvey (90+3')
Fish (45+2'), Gard (62' pen.)
Janneh. (79+79')
OSZAR »