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National League | Gameweek 27
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm

Oxford City
1 - 2
Dorking

Sanderson (90+5')
Kirby (42'), McQueen (49'), Coyle (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McManus (66'), Bowerman (81')
Gallagher (11'), Briggs (55'), Taylor (75'), McManus (77')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 0-2 Oxford City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 0-2 Oxford City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Oxford CityDrawDorking Wanderers
44.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)23.78% (0.016999999999999 0.02)31.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.69% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)41.22% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)63.61% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)18.69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.96% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)50.03% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)25.36% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.07 -0.07)60.15% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 44.75%
    Dorking Wanderers 31.47%
    Draw 23.77%
Oxford CityDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 31.47%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Dorking
0-2
Oxford City
Smith (74'), Fleet (90+5')
Potter (72'), Potter (72')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Dorking
1-0
Oxford City
Oldaker (25')
Dec 14, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Oxford City
2-4
Dorking
Iaciofano (31' pen.), Ashby (54')
Bradbury (70')
Rutherford (16', 40', 87'), McShane (22')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Oxford City
0-0
Dorking
Nov 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Dorking
3-2
Oxford City
Prior (53', 58'), McShane (73')
McManus (90+4')
Ballard (15'), Roberts (76')
OSZAR »