Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.