Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 0-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Fulham win it was 2-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.