Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Arsenal win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.