Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Crystal Palace |
38.41% (![]() | 25.85% (![]() | 35.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.41% (![]() | 49.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.39% | 71.61% (![]() |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% (![]() | 25.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% (![]() | 60.06% (![]() |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% (![]() | 26.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.9% (![]() | 62.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.41% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.93% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 |
4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 |
6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 |
9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 |
10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 |
11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 |
13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 |
15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 |
17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 |
R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 |
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