Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 34

May 2, 2021 at 2pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
0 - 2
Arsenal

Elneny (5'), Aubameyang (66')
Xhaka (20'), Almiron (31'), Fernandez (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Newcastle United's Fabian Schar walks off the pitch after a red card on May 2, 2021

Newcastle United fail to have Fabian Schar's red card overturned

The defender was dismissed for a challenge on Gabriel Martinelli.

May 6, 09:31

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta pictured on April 29, 2021

Mikel Arteta delighted with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang return

The striker is back in harness after recovering from malaria.

May 2, 17:05

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Arsenal in this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Arsenal
17.37%	20.85%	61.78%

Both teams to score 54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.66%

42.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.26%

64.74%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.19%

37.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.42%

74.58%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.82%

13.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.11%

39.89%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 17.37%

Arsenal 61.77%

Draw 20.85%

Newcastle United	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 4.85% 2-1 @ 4.78% 2-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.57% 3-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.28% Total : 17.37%	1-1 @ 9.82% 0-0 @ 4.98% 2-2 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.85%	0-2 @ 10.23% 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-3 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 6.72% 0-4 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 1.66% 0-5 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.23% Total : 61.77%