Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.