Arouca
Arouca
Benfica
Benfica
Boavista
Boavista
Braga
Braga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Moreirense
Nacional
Nacional
Porto
Porto
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga

Benfica
3 - 1
Braga

Leonardo (71', 90+5'), Neres (85')
Leonardo (90+5'), Carvalho (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Horta (28')
Moutinho (79'), Ndour (82'), Kokcu (82'), Carvalho (90+8')
Gomez (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-3 Benfica
Monday, April 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Vizela
Saturday, April 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.13%. A win for Braga had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
BenficaDrawBraga
54.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.8% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 60.28% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.76% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.23% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (0.00099999999999056 0)14.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)42.31% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.57% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 54.13%
    Braga 23.8%
    Draw 22.05%
BenficaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 9.74%
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 3.83%
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.18%
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 54.13%
1-1 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 23.8%

How you voted: Benfica vs Braga

Benfica
100%
Draw
0.0%
Braga
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Benfica
3-2
Braga
Silva (42'), Cabral (44'), Aursnes (70')
Morato (40'), di Maria (60')
Zalazar (7', 48')
Gomez (58'), Oliveira (72')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 14
Braga
0-1
Benfica

Saatci (26'), Fonte (76'), Carvalho (90+4')
Tengstedt (3')
Morato (2'), Trubin (89'), Otamendi (90+5')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 31
Benfica
1-0
Braga
Silva (67')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2023 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Braga
1-1
Benfica
(Aggregate 1-1 | Braga win 5-4 on penalties)
Elmusrati (36')
Guedes (15')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 14
Braga
3-0
Benfica
Ruiz (2'), Horta (32', 70')
> Preview
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