Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Arouca |
31.74% (![]() | 25.23% (![]() | 43.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.28% (![]() | 47.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.09% (![]() | 69.91% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% (![]() | 28.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% (![]() | 64.12% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.87% (![]() | 22.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.49% (![]() | 55.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 7.91% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.74% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 9.47% (![]() 1-2 @ 9% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
R | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
R | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |