Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 24
Mar 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Al-Nassr

Al-Ahli
0 - 1
Al-Nassr

Firmino (57')
Ibanez (12'), Kessie (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ronaldo (42', 68' pen.)
Otavio (53'), Laporte (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 0-1 Al-Ahli
Saturday, March 9 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Ain (1-3 pen.)
Monday, March 11 at 7pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl-Nassr
38.54% (-0.395 -0.4)25.78% (0.065999999999999 0.07)35.67% (0.328 0.33)
Both teams to score 54.91% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (-0.262 -0.26)49.27% (0.261 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (-0.236 -0.24)71.33% (0.235 0.23)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (-0.333 -0.33)25.08% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22% (-0.46 -0.46)59.77% (0.459 0.46)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (0.068000000000012 0.07)26.7% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04% (0.089999999999996 0.09)61.95% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 38.54%
    Al-Nassr 35.67%
    Draw 25.78%
Al-AhliDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 38.54%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 35.67%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al-Nassr

Al-Ahli
25.0%
Draw
9.4%
Al-Nassr
65.6%
32
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Al-Nassr
4-3
Al-Ahli
Ronaldo (4', 52'), Talisca (17', 45+6')
Mane (34'), Talisca (90+6')
Kessie (30'), Mahrez (50' pen.), Albirakan (87')
Majrashi (45'), Yaslam (90+3')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
Quarter-Finals
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al-Ahli
Martinez (13'), Asiri (55')
Albirakan (88')

Al-Majhad (6'), Hawsawi (78')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CAl Ittihad34265379354483
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal34236595415475
3Al-Nassr34217680384270
4Al Quadisiya34215853312268
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli34214969363367
6Al ShababAl Shabab341861065412460
7Al Ettifaq34148124445-150
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun34129134039145
9Al Kholood34124184264-2240
10Al Fateh34116174761-1439
11Al Riyadh34108163752-1538
12Al Khaleej34107174057-1737
13Al Fayha34812142749-2236
14Damac3498173750-1335
15Al Okhdood3497183356-2334
16Al WahdaAl Wahda3496194267-2533
17Al Orubah3493223174-4330
RAl RaedAl Raed3463254166-2521
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!
OSZAR »