Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 18
Dec 24, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium

Al Wahda
3 - 1
Al Riyadh

El Yamiq (36'), Goodwin (82'), Ighalo (90+4' pen.)
Hejji (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al Abbas (86')
Assiri (28'), Al-Shuwayyi (45+3')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Wahda and Al Riyadh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Wahda

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Wahda
Friday, December 15 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Khaleej
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wahda would win this match.

Result
Al WahdaDrawAl Riyadh
55.96% (-0.235 -0.23)21.92% (0.071999999999999 0.07)22.12% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 58.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-0.137 -0.14)40.23% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-0.141 -0.14)62.6% (0.138 0.14)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (-0.123 -0.12)14.27% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.94% (-0.232 -0.23)42.05% (0.229 0.23)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.066000000000003 0.07)31.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.077999999999999 0.08)68.16% (-0.080999999999989 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Al Wahda 55.96%
    Al Riyadh 22.12%
    Draw 21.92%
Al WahdaDrawAl Riyadh
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.92%
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 22.12%

How you voted: Al Wahda vs Al Riyadh

Al Wahda
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Al Riyadh
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Al Riyadh
1-0
Al Wahda
Musona (17')
Musona (45+1'), Ali Alnwaiqi (74')

Ayidh Al Qahtani (60')
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