Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18

Dec 12, 2021 at 12pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
0 - 2
Rangers

Ginnelly (35'), Halkett (37'), Gordon (54'), Devlin (84'), Haring (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Morelos (9'), Aribo (13')
Tavernier (69'), Aribo (70'), McGregor (76'), Barisic (81'), Kent (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Rangers
24.92%	23.58%	51.5%

Both teams to score 56.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.25%

44.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.89%

67.11%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18%

31.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74%

68.26%

Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.59%

17.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.16%

47.84%

Score Analysis

Hearts 24.92%

Rangers 51.5%

Draw 23.57%

Hearts	Draw	Rangers
2-1 @ 6.35% 1-0 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.67% Total : 24.92%	1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.57%	1-2 @ 9.69% 0-1 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 8.47% 1-3 @ 5.65% 0-3 @ 4.93% 2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 2.47% 0-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.8% Total : 51.5%