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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Udinese logo

Atalanta
2 - 1
Udinese

Pasalic (56'), Toure (60' og.)
Lookman (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kamara (45+3')
Toure (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 0-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Juventus
Saturday, November 2 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Udinese

Although Udinese pose more of a threat than last term, Atalanta's recent defensive record is only outshone by their towering tally of goals. Even if the Bianconeri do find the net, La Dea should still out-score them and seal a fifth straight success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawUdinese
72.13% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 17.13% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 10.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.52% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)40.28% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (-0.064 -0.06)62.65% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.18% (0.0039999999999907 0)9.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.38% (0.0040000000000049 0)32.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.8% (-0.139 -0.14)46.2% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.12% (-0.109 -0.11)81.87% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 72.12%
    Udinese 10.75%
    Draw 17.13%
Atalanta BCDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 12.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.45% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.48% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.54% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 72.12%
1-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 17.13%
0-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 10.75%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Udinese

Atalanta BC
89.2%
Draw
8.8%
Udinese
2.0%
102
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Atalanta
2-0
Udinese
Miranchuk (33'), Scamacca (45+1')
Pasalic (75'), Ederson (77')

Kristensen (28')
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Udinese
1-1
Atalanta
Walace (44')
Ferreira (41'), Bijol (77')
Ederson (90+2')
Hateboer (37'), Koopmeiners (58'), de Roon (89')
Mar 4, 2023 5pm
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Udinese
2-2
Atalanta
Deulofeu (67'), Perez (78')
Lookman (36'), Muriel (56' pen.)
Jan 9, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Udinese
2-6
Atalanta
Djimsiti (59' og.), Beto (88')
Becao (30'), Deulofeu (44')
Pasalic (17'), Muriel (22', 76'), Malinovskyi (43'), Maehle (89'), Pessina (90+2')
de Roon (45+1'), Djimsiti (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli372310457273079
2Inter Milan37239577354278
3Atalanta BCAtalanta37228776344274
4Juventus371716455332267
5Roma37199954351966
6Lazio371811861481365
7Fiorentina371881157391862
8Bologna371614756441262
9AC Milan371791159431660
10Como371310144950-149
11Torino371014133943-444
12Udinese37128173953-1444
13Genoa37913153448-1440
14CagliariCagliari3799194054-1436
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3797213265-3334
16Parma37615164156-1533
17Empoli37613183257-2531
18Lecce37710202658-3231
19VeneziaVenezia37514183053-2329
RMonza3739252867-3918


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