Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Mar 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
AC Milan

Gonzalez (49' pen.), Jovic (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hernandez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Fiorentina
Monday, February 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Sunday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 44%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	AC Milan
44% ( -1.35)	24.89% ( 0.42)	31.11% ( 0.92)

Both teams to score 56.63% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.53% (

-1.46)

46.47% (

1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.25% (

-1.39)

68.75% (

1.38)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84% (

-1.2)

21.16% (

1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.97% (

-1.89)

54.02% (

1.89)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

-0.12)

28.17% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14% (

-0.14)

63.86% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 44%

AC Milan 31.11%

Draw 24.88%

Fiorentina	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.59% Total : 44%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.11%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Fiorentina

17.4%

Draw

12.2%

AC Milan

70.4%

Head to Head

Nov 13, 2022 5pm

AC Milan

2-1

Fiorentina

Leao (2'), Milenkovic (90+2' og.)
Diaz (21')

Barak (28')

May 1, 2022 2pm

AC Milan

1-0

Fiorentina

Leao (82')
Bennacer (88')

Maleh (2'), Venuti (42'), Martinez (72')

Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm

Fiorentina

4-3

AC Milan

Duncan (15'), Saponara (45+1'), Vlahovic (60', 85')
Castrovilli (90+5')

Ibrahimovic (62', 67'), Venuti (90+6' og.)
Hernandez (90+5')

Mar 21, 2021 5pm

Fiorentina

2-3

AC Milan

Pulgar (17'), Ribery (51')
Prandelli (65'), Kouame (89')

Ibrahimovic (9'), Diaz (57'), Calhanoglu (72')
Calhanoglu (41'), Dalot (47'), Meite (90+2')

Nov 29, 2020 2pm

AC Milan

2-0

Fiorentina

Romagnoli (17'), Kessie (28' pen.)
Rebic (45+2'), Kessie (71')

Pezzella (25'), Castrovilli (52'), Biraghi (86'), Amrabat (90+1')

Form Guide

Hellas Verona 0-3 Fiorentina

Fiorentina 3-2 Braga

Fiorentina 1-1 Empoli

Braga 0-4 Fiorentina

Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina

Fiorentina 1-2 Bologna

AC Milan 2-0 Atalanta

Monza 0-1 AC Milan

AC Milan 1-0 Spurs

AC Milan 1-0 Torino

Inter Milan 1-0 AC Milan

AC Milan 2-5 Sassuolo

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table