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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Monza

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Monza

Kean (45'), Gosens (90+6')
Mandragora (23'), Dodo (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Djuric (18'), Maldini (32')
Pessina (21'), Izzo (75'), Petagna (80'), Nesta (81'), Gagliardini (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puskas Academy 1-1 Fiorentina (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Genoa
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawMonza
65.74% (-0.47 -0.47)20.59% (0.314 0.31)13.67% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.16% (-0.543 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)48.31% (0.967 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.889 -0.89)70.45% (0.89 0.89)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.443 -0.44)13.87% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.73% (-0.882 -0.88)41.27% (0.882 0.88)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.59% (-0.354 -0.35)46.4% (0.353 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.97% (-0.274 -0.27)82.03% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 65.73%
    Monza 13.67%
    Draw 20.59%
FiorentinaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 12.55% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.27% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 4.08% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 65.73%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.135 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.59%
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.147 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 13.67%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Monza

Fiorentina
71.0%
Draw
27.5%
Monza
1.4%
69
Head to Head
May 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Fiorentina
2-1
Monza
Gonzalez (32'), Arthur (78')
Parisi (41')
Djuric (9')
Bondo (69')
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Monza
0-1
Fiorentina

Mari (33'), Akpa-Akpro (72'), D'Ambrosio (88')
Beltran (7')
Beltran (33'), Mina (68'), Kayode (86'), Ranieri (90+3')
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 31
Monza
3-2
Fiorentina
Biraghi (26' og.), Mota (43'), Pessina (59' pen.)
Kouame (8'), Saponara (13')
Jan 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Fiorentina
1-1
Monza
Cabral (19')
Augusto (61')
Aug 18, 2019 5.15pm
Third Round
Fiorentina
3-1
Monza
Vlahovic (80', 86'), Chiesa (89')
Terzic (29'), Ranieri (71'), Vlahovic (87')
Brighenti (34')
Sampirisi (33'), Scaglia (39'), Bellusci (44'), Iocolano (85')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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