Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 10.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Venezia |
71.57% (![]() | 17.55% (![]() | 10.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.13% (![]() | 41.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.73% (![]() | 64.27% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.62% (![]() | 10.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.1% (![]() | 33.9% (![]() |
Venezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53% (![]() | 46.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.52% (![]() | 82.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Venezia |
2-0 @ 12.51% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.05% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.18% Total : 71.56% | 1-1 @ 8.35% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.76% Total : 17.55% | 0-1 @ 3.68% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 10.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 82 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 81 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Roma | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 69 |
6 | Fiorentina | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 65 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61 | 49 | 12 | 65 |
8 | AC Milan | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 63 |
9 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Como | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 49 |
11 | Torino | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 44 |
12 | Udinese | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 44 |
13 | Genoa | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
16 | Parma | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 36 |
17 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 31 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 29 |
R | Monza | 38 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |