Serie B | 1st Leg
May 21, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Spezia Calcio logo

Catanzaro
0 - 2
Spezia


Quagliata (26'), Brighenti (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Di Serio (49'), Pio Esposito (61')
Elia (18'), Aurelio (22'), Pio Esposito (47'), Hristov (90+5')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last Game: Catanzaro 1-0 Cesena
Saturday, May 17 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 3-1 Cosenza
Tuesday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawSpezia
30.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.54% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.72% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)55.29% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.49% (0.013000000000002 0.01)76.51% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92% (0.022000000000006 0.02)33.07% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33% (0.024000000000001 0.02)69.67% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37%60.63%
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 30.49%
    Spezia 42.54%
    Draw 26.96%
CatanzaroDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.49%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0029999999999992 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 11.55%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 7.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.54%

How you voted: Catanzaro vs Spezia

Catanzaro
23.1%
Draw
46.2%
Spezia
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2025 2pm
Gameweek 27
Spezia
0-1
Catanzaro

Bandinelli (1'), Pio Esposito (14'), Esposito (17'), Mateju (39'), Vignali (84')
Lapadula (66')
Pittarello (75')
Bonini (17'), Situm (58'), Brighenti (61'), Pompetti (79')
Quagliata (90+4')
Dec 21, 2024 4.15pm
Gameweek 18
Catanzaro
0-1
Spezia

Scognamillo (42'), Petriccione (77')
Pio Esposito (18')
Wisniewski (42'), Esposito (90')
Feb 3, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 23
Spezia
1-1
Catanzaro
Jagiello (34')
Bertola (83'), Moro (90+4')
Iemmello (13')
Situm (26'), Biasci (32'), Veroli (54'), Petriccione (73'), Vandeputte (81')
Aug 30, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Catanzaro
3-0
Spezia
Biasci (52'), Nikolaou (59' og.), Pompetti (73')
Scognamillo (31'), D'Andrea (90+5')
Oliveri (90+4')

Amian (29'), Bandinelli (44'), Dragowski (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SassuoloSassuolo38257678384082
2Pisa38237864362876
3SpeziaSpezia381715659332666
4Cremonese381613962441861
5Juve StabiaJuve Stabia381413114241155
6CatanzaroCatanzaro38112075145653
7Cesena381411134647-153
8Palermo381410145243952
9BariBari381018104140148
10SudtirolSudtirol381210165057-746
11Modena381015134850-245
12Carrarese381112153949-1045
13Mantova381014144756-944
14Reggiana381111164252-1044
15Brescia38916134248-643
16FrosinoneFrosinone38916133750-1343
17Salernitana38119183747-1042
18Sampdoria38817133849-1141
19Cittadella38109193056-2639
20Cosenza CalcioCosenza38713183256-2430
> Serie B Full Table


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