Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Vefa Stadi
Besiktas

Karagumruk
0 - 1
Besiktas


Mercan (24'), Veseli (54'), Dresevic (69'), Dursun (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandes (85')
Uysal (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, June 6 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 1-3 Besiktas
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawBesiktas
20.45% (-0.601 -0.6)21.31% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)58.24% (0.643 0.64)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.84800000000001 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.41% (-0.672 -0.67)39.59% (0.678 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.06% (-0.705 -0.7)61.94% (0.71 0.71)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.956 -0.96)32.92% (0.961 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-1.079 -1.08)69.5% (1.083 1.08)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)13.35% (0.028 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (-0.055 -0.05)40.24% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 20.45%
    Besiktas 58.24%
    Draw 21.31%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 5.46% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-0 @ 4.89% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.01% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 20.45%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.137 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.91% (0.26 0.26)
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.268 0.27)
1-3 @ 6.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.98% (0.168 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.69% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 3.01% (0.082 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.35%
0-5 @ 1.21% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 58.24%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Besiktas

Fatih Karagumruk
10.0%
Draw
3.3%
Besiktas
86.7%
30
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 22
Karagumruk
1-1
Besiktas
Ozdoyev (49')
Tosun (33')
Dec 2, 2022
4pm
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Besiktas
4-1
Karagumruk
Weghorst (17'), N'Koudou (34'), Muleka (50'), Rosier (90')
Muleka (40'), Vardar (42'), Ucan (67')
Diagne (53')
Ozdoyev (7'), Diagne (43'), Erkin (90+2')
Jan 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Karagumruk
0-1
Besiktas

Dursun (78')
Batshuayi (39' pen.)
Batshuayi (73')
Aug 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Besiktas
1-0
Karagumruk
Teixeira (30')
Ucan (36'), Destanoglu (90+4')
Ucan (48')

Oztumer (14'), Durmaz (16'), Zukanovic (42'), Tatli (61')
OSZAR »