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World Cup
Mongolia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 2nd Leg
Oct 17, 2023 at 8am UK
Football Centre MFF
Afghanistan national football team

Mongolia
0 - 1
Afghanistan


Uuganbat (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Noor (71')
Popalzay (6')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Mongolia and Afghanistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mongolia

Last Game: Afghanistan 1-0 Mongolia
Thursday, October 12 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Afghanistan

Last Game: Afghanistan 1-0 Mongolia
Thursday, October 12 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 68.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Mongolia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Afghanistan would win this match.

Result
MongoliaDrawAfghanistan
12.44% (-0.11 -0.11) 19.35% (-0.29 -0.29) 68.21% (0.404 0.4)
Both teams to score 46.6% (0.589 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (0.979 0.98)45.82% (-0.976 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (0.922 0.92)68.14% (-0.92 -0.92)
Mongolia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.19% (0.429 0.43)46.81% (-0.425 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.66% (0.326 0.33)82.34% (-0.32299999999999 -0.32)
Afghanistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (0.408 0.41)12.39% (-0.406 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.73% (0.844 0.84)38.26% (-0.841 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Mongolia 12.44%
    Afghanistan 68.2%
    Draw 19.35%
MongoliaDrawAfghanistan
1-0 @ 4.4% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 12.44%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 19.35%
0-2 @ 12.64% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 12.11% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 8.8% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.68% (0.115 0.12)
0-4 @ 4.6% (0.095 0.09)
1-4 @ 3.49% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.073 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.92% (0.069 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.46% (0.069 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 68.2%

How you voted: Mongolia vs Afghanistan

Mongolia
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Afghanistan
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2023 3pm
First Round 1st Leg
Afghanistan
1-0
Mongolia
Sharza (60')
Noor (13'), Shayesteh (45+1'), Akbari (80'), Sharza (90')

Amgalanbat (12'), Solongo Hofman Andersen (90+3')
Khurelbaatar (78')
rhs 2.0
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