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Qatar national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2022 at 4pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
Ecuador national football team

Qatar
0 - 2
Ecuador

FT(HT: 0-2)
Valencia (16' pen., 31')

The Match

Analysis

Sports Mole analyses the World Cup opener between Qatar and Ecuador, which saw the South American outfit run out comfortable winners.

Match Report

A double from Enner Valencia earns Ecuador a 2-0 win over Qatar in Sunday's World Cup opener at the Al Bayt Stadium.

Team News

Qatar and Ecuador confirm their starting lineups for the opening match at the World Cup.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup clash between Qatar and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Ecuador could line up for Sunday's World Cup 2022 Group A clash with Qatar .

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions
Last Game: Qatar 1-0 Albania
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Ecuador

All competitions
Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Iraq
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 44.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 27.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Qatar win it was 1-0 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
QatarDrawEcuador
27.41% (-1.825 -1.83)27.67% (-0.292 -0.29)44.92% (2.118 2.12)
Both teams to score 46.06% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.84% (0.233 0.23)59.15% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.41% (0.179 0.18)79.59% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46% (-1.342 -1.34)37.54% (1.341 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68% (-1.34 -1.34)74.32% (1.341 1.34)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (1.215 1.22)26.26% (-1.213 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (1.597 1.6)61.36% (-1.597 -1.6)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 27.41%
    Ecuador 44.92%
    Draw 27.67%
QatarDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 9.66% (-0.443 -0.44)
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-0 @ 4.73% (-0.403 -0.4)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.55% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.41%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 13.18% (0.34 0.34)
0-2 @ 8.81% (0.513 0.51)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.93% (0.354 0.35)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.216 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.158 0.16)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.92%

How you voted: Qatar vs Ecuador

Qatar
40.3%
Draw
16.9%
Ecuador
42.8%
2393
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2018 4.30pm
Qatar
4-3
Ecuador
Akram (32'), Ali (36', 68'), Al Haydos (61' pen.)
Hisham (38')
Valencia (66', 71'), Cevallos (89')
Palacios (31'), Erazo (59'), Gruezo (77')
Erazo (73'), Valencia (90')
Build-up
Qatar coach Felix Sanchez Bas reacts in March 2022
Sports Mole takes a closer look at Felix Sanchez and Gustavo Alfaro - the two managers involved in the World Cup opener between Qatar and Ecuador.
Nov 20, 11:48
 Qatar players look dejected in September 2022
Sports Mole looks at the recent form of both Qatar and Ecuador ahead of the two sides facing off in the opening match of the 2022 World Cup.
Nov 20, 11:37
 FIFA President Sepp Blatter announces Qatar as the host nation for the FIFA World Cup 2022, in Zurich December 2, 2010
As Qatar and Ecuador prepare to face each other in the first match of the 2022 World Cup, Sports Mole looks at how both sides qualified for the tournament.
Nov 20, 11:24
 Qatar players line up during the national anthems before the match in September 2022
Ahead of the 2022 World Cup opener, Sports Mole looks at how the squads of Qatar and Ecuador compare.
Nov 20, 11:04
 Ecuador's Enner Valencia in September 2022
Ahead of the 2022 World Cup opener, Sports Mole looks at which players could help decide the contest for both Qatar and Ecuador.
Nov 20, 10:38
 Ecuador players huddle before the match on November 12, 2022
Ahead of the 2022 World Cup opener, Sports Mole looks at some of the reasons why Ecuador should feel confident of beating hosts Qatar in the curtain-raiser.
Nov 20, 10:17
 Qatar's Hasan Al Haydos celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in September 2022
Ahead of the 2022 World Cup opener, Sports Mole looks at why Qatar should feel confident about getting their campaign off to a winning start agaist Ecuador.
Nov 20, 09:43
 Qatar's head coach Felix Sanchez Bas on June 7, 2021
Qatar looking to make World Cup history in opener against Ecuador
Qatar will be looking to make World Cup history when they face Ecuador in the tournament's opening fixture on Sunday.
Nov 19, 20:23
 Qatar players look dejected in September 2022
Ahead of the 2022 World Cup opener between Qatar and Ecuador, Sports Mole looks at the head-to-head record between the two sides.
Nov 19, 19:11
 Qatar's Hasan Al Haydos celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in September 2022
Ahead of Sunday's World Cup curtain-raiser between Qatar and Ecuador, Sports Mole looks at why to expect goals from the contest.
Nov 19, 17:22
 Qatar players line up during the national anthems before the match in September 2022
The 2022 World Cup host nation Qatar have been accused of bribing Ecuadorian players to lose the opening match at the tournament.
Nov 18, 14:55
 Ecuador players applaud fans after the match on September 2022
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Ecuador could line up for Sunday's World Cup 2022 Group A clash with Qatar .
Nov 18, 08:33
 Qatar's Hasan Al Haydos celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in September 2022
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Qatar could line up for Sunday's World Cup 2022 Group A clash with Ecuador.
Nov 18, 08:23
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