World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Venezuela
0 - 1
Colombia

Hernandez (31')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rodriguez (45+4' pen.)
Moreno (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Venezuela and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

Last Six:

Last Game: Malta 0-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, June 1 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Venezuela
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Colombia

Last Six:

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Colombia
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Colombia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia.

Venezuela	Draw	Colombia
1-0 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.05%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 4.49% 0-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.28%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
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