Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Final

Feb 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Teslim Balogun Stadium

Nigeria
1 - 2
Ivory Coast

Troost-Ekong (38')
Yusuf (28'), Nwabali (53'), Aina (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kessie (62'), Haller (81')
Aurier (54'), Fofana (87'), N'Dicka (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 South Africa (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Congo DR
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Nigeria	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 15.37% 2-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.57% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.89% 4-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.96% Total : 49.5%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 9.27% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.04% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.59%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table