Cruzeiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 26, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Athletico Paranaense

Cruzeiro
2 - 0
Athletico PR

Veron (15'), Hugo Amorim de Assis (90+1')
Heleno (88'), Fernandinho (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandinho (90+6'), Hugo Amorim de Assis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 4-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Corinthians
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
CruzeiroDrawAthletico Paranaense
50.83% (0.867 0.87)26.56% (0.268 0.27)22.61% (-1.137 -1.14)
Both teams to score 44.95% (-1.899 -1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.53% (-1.857 -1.86)58.47% (1.855 1.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.94% (-1.471 -1.47)79.06% (1.469 1.47)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)23.14% (0.403 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43% (-0.595 -0.59)57% (0.592 0.59)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.48% (-2.152 -2.15)41.52% (2.15 2.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (-1.947 -1.95)78.02% (1.946 1.95)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 50.83%
    Athletico Paranaense 22.61%
    Draw 26.56%
CruzeiroDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.06% (0.81 0.81)
2-0 @ 10.29% (0.47 0.47)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.167 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 50.83%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.61% (0.656 0.66)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.291 -0.29)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.101 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.43% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 22.61%

How you voted: Cruzeiro vs Athletico PR

Cruzeiro
60.0%
Draw
35.0%
Athletico Paranaense
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 36
Cruzeiro
1-1
Athletico PR
Pereira (84')
Luccas (14'), Neris (39'), William (68')
Roque (65')
Felipe (40'), Caca (79'), Moura (87'), Cardoso (90+4')
Jul 29, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Athletico PR
3-3
Cruzeiro
Madson (41'), Pablo (78'), Fernandinho (87' pen.)
Vidal (15')
Arthur (8', 37'), Wesley (82')
Pepa (16'), Palacios (22'), Cabral (85'), William (87'), Wesley (87')
Pepa (0')
Nov 7, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 31
Athletico PR
0-0
Cruzeiro
Pereira (25'), Martins (63'), Ruben (93')
Sassa (45')
Sassa (60')
Jul 27, 2019 11pm
Cruzeiro
0-2
Athletico PR

Fred (35')
Jonathan (30' pen.), Guimaraes (77')
Nov 10, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 33
Athletico PR
2-0
Cruzeiro
Cirino (10'), Veiga (22')
Jonathan (17'), Wellington (59'), Pereira (75'), Guimaraes (76')

Henrique (44'), Manoel (54'), Cabral (58'), Edilson (59'), Romero (75'), Sobis (76'), De Arrascaeta (83')
OSZAR »