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Champions League

Real Madrid logo
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Dortmund logo

Real Madrid
5 - 2
Dortmund

Rudiger (60'), Junior (62', 86', 90+3'), Vazquez (83')
Junior (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Malen (30'), Bynoe-Gittens (34')

The Match

Match Report

Ballon d'Or favourite Vinicius Junior scores a hat-trick as Real Madrid come from behind to beat Borussia Dortmund 5-2 in the Champions League.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Borussia Dortmund could line up for Tuesday's Champions League clash with Real Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash with Borussia Dortmund.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 St Pauli
Friday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawBorussia Dortmund
60.48% (0.29 0.29)20.01% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)19.51% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 61.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21% (0.169 0.17)34.79% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.25% (0.19 0.19)56.75% (-0.19 -0.19)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.78% (0.129 0.13)11.22% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.24% (0.282 0.28)35.76% (-0.282 -0.28)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)31.02% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-0.1 -0.1)67.33% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 60.48%
    Borussia Dortmund 19.51%
    Draw 20.01%
Real MadridDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.11% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.28% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.025 0.03)
5-2 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 60.48%
1-1 @ 8.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.01%
1-2 @ 5.22% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 19.51%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Dortmund

Real Madrid
76.9%
Draw
13.6%
Borussia Dortmund
9.6%
376
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2024 8pm
Final
Dortmund
0-2
Real Madrid

Schlotterbeck (40'), Sabitzer (43'), Hummels (79')
Carvajal (74'), Junior (83')
Junior (35')
> Match Report
Dec 6, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
3-2
Dortmund
Mayoral (8'), Ronaldo (12'), Vazquez (81')
Aubameyang (43', 49')
Bartra (16')
> Match Report
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
1-3
Real Madrid
Aubameyang (54')
Toprak (52'), Weigl (63')
Bale (18'), Ronaldo (49', 79')
Bale (29'), Carvajal (39'), Modric (40')
> Match Report
Dec 7, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
2-2
Dortmund
Benzema (28', 53')
Modric (38'), Casemiro (69')
Aubameyang (60'), Reus (88')
Papastathopoulos (71')
> Match Report
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
2-2
Real Madrid
Aubameyang (43'), Schurrle (87')
Schmelzer (50'), Weigl (74'), Guerreiro (77'), Aubameyang (93')
Ronaldo (17'), Varane (68')
Ramos (63')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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