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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bramall Lane
Derby logo

Sheff Utd
1 - 0
Derby

Hamer (53')
Souza (38'), Ahmedhodzic (56'), Moore (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Warne (0'), Cashin (50'), Elder (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sheffield United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Sheff Utd
Friday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sheffield United 2-0 Derby County

Derby County certainly have cause for optimism following their start to the campaign and back-to-back wins, but they face a stern test away at a Sheffield United side who have quickly found their groove at both ends of the pitch. With home advantage and momentum building, we see the Blades having too much quality on Saturday and taking another three-point haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby County
28.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 23.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 47.52% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 58.75% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (0.043999999999997 0.04)43.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (0.045000000000002 0.05)65.42% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.1% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)63.77% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (0.053999999999995 0.05)49.34% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 28.65%
    Derby County 47.52%
    Draw 23.84%
Sheffield UnitedDrawDerby County
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.65%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.42%
1-3 @ 5.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 47.52%

How you voted: Sheff Utd vs Derby

Sheffield United
62.1%
Draw
19.7%
Derby County
18.2%
66
Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Derby
1-3
Sheff Utd
Smith (59')
Ben Slimane (17'), Baldock (83'), Ndiaye (85')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Derby
2-0
Sheff Utd
Lawrence (69', 78')
Lawrence (78')

Ndiaye (90+3')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Sheff Utd
1-0
Derby
Sharp (90' pen.)
Gibbs-White (24')

Shinnie (24')
Roos (57')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Sheff Utd
2-1
Derby
Freeman (53'), Sharp (76')
Osborn (43'), Fleck (74'), Freeman (83'), Robinson (90+3')
Sibley (44')
Sep 1, 2020 5pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Derby
0-2
Sheff Utd
Osborn (38'), Sharp (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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