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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
28.65% (![]() | 23.84% (![]() | 47.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.98% (![]() | 43.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.58% (![]() | 65.42% (![]() |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.9% (![]() | 28.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.23% (![]() | 63.77% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% (![]() | 18.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.66% (![]() | 49.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
2-1 @ 7.03% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.42% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.42% 1-3 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 3.55% Total : 47.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 |
P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 |
4 | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 |
6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 |
8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 |
16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 |
21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 |
R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 |
R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 |
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