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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Sheffield United logo

Sheff Weds
0 - 1
Sheff Utd


Paterson (18'), Gassama (59'), Johnson (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brewster (64')
Brereton Diaz (18'), Seriki (56'), Ahmedhodzic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Sheffield United

In what promises to be a cagey affair between two sides hoping to improve their promotion bids in a Steel City Derby, we cannot quite pick a winner and instead anticipate a low-scoring draw at Hillsborough. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sheffield United in this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawSheffield United
31.41% (0.43 0.43) 26.77% (0.27 0.27) 41.82% (-0.698 -0.7)
Both teams to score 50.68% (-0.658 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (-0.927 -0.93)54.24% (0.928 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.778 -0.78)75.64% (0.78 0.78)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.12% (-0.173 -0.17)31.88% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (-0.198 -0.2)68.33% (0.199 0.2)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.77600000000001 -0.78)25.61% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (-1.07 -1.07)60.49% (1.072 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 31.41%
    Sheffield United 41.82%
    Draw 26.77%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.33% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.41%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.58% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.82%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Sheff Utd

Sheffield Wednesday
38.8%
Draw
18.4%
Sheffield United
42.9%
98
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Sheff Utd
1-0
Sheff Weds
Campbell (50')
Burrows (26')

Bannan (41'), Valery (57'), Charles (90')
Mar 4, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 9, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Sheff Utd
0-0
Sheff Weds
Bannan (71'), Baker (86'), Hector (89')
Jan 12, 2018 7.45pm
Sep 24, 2017 1.15pm
Sheff Weds
2-4
Sheff Utd
Hooper (45'), Joao (66')
Bannan (12')
Fleck (3'), Clarke (15', 77'), Duffy (67')
Basham (75'), Fleck (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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