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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leeds logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Leeds


Famiwuya (38'), Tchamadeu (45+2'), Wilmot (51'), Cannon (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (42', 63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-3 Leeds United

Despite the fact that Stoke have not often lost at home, they are in dire form and have been porous in their defensive third. Additionally, Leeds have been outstanding recently, and it would not be surprising if they piled further misery on their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Stoke City win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
21.72% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 22.43% (0.0030000000000001 0) 55.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.2% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)43.03% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)65.43% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)33.67% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)70.32% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)15.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)43.95% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 21.72%
    Leeds United 55.85%
    Draw 22.42%
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 21.72%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.08% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.69% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 55.85%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leeds

Stoke City
21.6%
Draw
13.5%
Leeds United
64.9%
74
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Leeds
1-0
Stoke
James (33')
Gruev (90+5')

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
(Aggregate 2-2 | Stoke win 5-4 on penalties)
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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