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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Stoke City win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Leeds United |
21.72% (![]() | 22.43% (![]() | 55.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.2% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.96% (![]() | 43.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.56% (![]() | 65.43% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.32% (![]() | 33.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.67% (![]() | 70.32% (![]() |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.74% (![]() | 15.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.05% (![]() | 43.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Leeds United |
2-1 @ 5.72% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.23% Total : 21.72% | 1-1 @ 10.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 9.88% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.66% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 55.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 |
P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 |
4 | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 |
6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 |
8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 |
16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 |
21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 |
R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 |
R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 |
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