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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
3 - 1
QPR

Bae (21'), Tchamadeu (44'), Manhoef (54')
Pearson (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Yang (78')
Varane (43'), Colback (58'), Yang (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-2 Leeds
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

With no international breaks between themselves and the end of the campaign, Stoke are now staring the possibility of relegation in the face, and we are expecting a timely response from Robins's troops this weekend. QPR were impressive in parts against table-topping Leeds but have struggled massively on the road in recent times, meaning that defeat in the Potteries is likely for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
44.91% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 26.81% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 28.28% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36% (-0.073 -0.07)55.64% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.2% (-0.061 -0.06)76.8% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)24.67% (0.078999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (-0.111 -0.11)59.2% (0.111 0.11)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)34.93% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.67% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.9%
    Queens Park Rangers 28.28%
    Draw 26.81%
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.62% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 28.28%

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
62.2%
Draw
15.6%
Queens Park Rangers
22.2%
45
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
QPR
1-1
Stoke
Gibson (62' og.)
Field (22'), Cifuentes (23'), Fox (80'), Ashby (90+4')
Cannon (24')
Johansson (79'), Thompson (86')
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stoke
1-0
QPR
Burger (45')

Hayden (64')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
QPR
4-2
Stoke
Dykes (11' pen., 79'), Pearson (89' og.), Willock (90+4')
Colback (86'), Begovic (90+6')
Mmaee (45'), Burger (59')
Stevens (10'), Burger (19'), Campbell (56'), Mmaee (56'), Gooch (74'), Johnson (81')
Stevens (53')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Stoke
0-1
QPR
Adomah (48')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
QPR
0-0
Stoke
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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