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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Oxford United

West Brom
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Mowatt (11'), Swift (90+11')
Mowatt (45+1'), Styles (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kioso (50'), Matos (58'), Brannagan (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Oxford United

Despite the surprise defeat at home to Blackburn, West Brom remain a formidable outfit at The Hawthorns and should be confident of maximum points against Oxford. The U's are struggling in front of net and now face a daunting trip to the Black Country for the first time since an EFL Cup loss in 2014. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawOxford United
62.51% (0.114 0.11) 22.67% (-0.026 -0.03) 14.82% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 42.95% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)54.25% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)75.65% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (0.027000000000001 0.03)16.9% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.06% (0.045000000000002 0.05)46.95% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.69% (-0.146 -0.15)48.32% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.54% (-0.108 -0.11)83.46% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 62.5%
    Oxford United 14.82%
    Draw 22.67%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 14.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.65% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 62.5%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.67%
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.82%

How you voted: West Brom vs Oxford Utd

West Bromwich Albion
84.0%
Draw
12.0%
Oxford United
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Oxford Utd
1-1
West Brom
Scarlett (90+2')
Buckingham (0'), Nelson (63'), Sibley (75'), Ebiowei (90+4')
Grant (29')
Mowatt (66')
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-3
West Brom
Grant (80', 84'), Sade (88' og.)
Aug 26, 2014 8pm
Round Two
West Brom
1-1
Oxford Utd
(Aggregate 1-1 | West Brom win 7-6 on penalties)
Mullins (29' og.)
Hylton (86')
Brown (52'), Wright (117'), Crocombe (119')
Brown (112')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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