Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Penarol

Cerro Porteno
1 - 0
Penarol

Cardozo (45+1')
Patino (53'), Espinola (79'), Carrascal (87'), Duarte (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Musto (53'), Elizalde (64'), Viatri (71')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Cerro Porteno vs. Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawPenarol
45.31%24.6%30.09%
Both teams to score 57.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33%45.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01%67.99%
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75%20.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.41%52.59%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55%28.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79%64.21%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 45.31%
    Penarol 30.09%
    Draw 24.6%
Cerro PortenoDrawPenarol
2-1 @ 9.24%
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 4.92%
3-0 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 45.31%
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-1 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.09%

rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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