Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 16, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Arena MRV
Atletico Mineiro3 - 1Caracas
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Atletico Mineiro and Caracas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-2 Fluminense
Sunday, May 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Cienciano 3-1 Caracas
Friday, May 9 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, May 9 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 76.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 7.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 3-0 (11.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Caracas |
76.51% ( 0.05) | 15.61% ( -0.02) | 7.88% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.8% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
