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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.22%. A draw had a probability of 7.9% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 3.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.55%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NAC Breda |
88.22% (![]() | 7.93% (![]() | 3.86% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.39% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
79.84% (![]() | 20.17% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
61.67% (![]() | 38.33% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.15% (![]() | 2.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.99% (![]() | 13.01% (![]() |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.84% (![]() | 49.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.93% (![]() | 84.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NAC Breda |
3-0 @ 10.52% (![]() 4-0 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 4.85% Total : 88.22% | 1-1 @ 3.55% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 7.93% | 1-2 @ 1.26% (![]() 0-1 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.6% Total : 3.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |