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Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
UPC-Arena
Feyenoord

Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Feyenoord

Kiteishvili (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

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Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Sturm Graz
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa League
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Feyenoord

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Sittard
Saturday, October 22 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawFeyenoord
41.26% (0.070999999999998 0.07)22.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)35.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 65.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.23% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)57.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (0.029000000000011 0.03)17.89% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32% (0.048999999999999 0.05)48.68% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)20.37% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)52.78% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 41.26%
    Feyenoord 35.81%
    Draw 22.93%
Sturm GrazDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.4% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 41.26%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.81%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Feyenoord

Sturm Graz
19.6%
Draw
11.2%
Feyenoord
69.3%
179
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Group F
Feyenoord
6-0
Sturm Graz
Jahanbakhsh (9', 41'), Hancko (31'), Danilo (34'), Gimenez (66'), Idrissi (78')

Wuthrich (8')
OSZAR »