Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitan Police win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for VCD Athletic had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitan Police win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest VCD Athletic win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.