Greece national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Lithuania national football team

Greece
0 - 0
Lithuania

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Greece and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 Greece
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
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Last Game: Serbia 2-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 80.5%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 6.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.28%) and 1-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
GreeceDrawLithuania
80.5% (-3.55 -3.55)13.42% (1.889 1.89)6.08% (1.6639 1.66)
Both teams to score 39.91% (4.365 4.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.56% (-1.115 -1.12)39.44% (1.118 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.22% (-1.173 -1.17)61.78% (1.176 1.18)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31% (-0.997 -1)7.69% (1.001 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.59% (-2.631 -2.63)27.42% (2.634 2.63)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.23% (5.141 5.14)56.77% (-5.139 -5.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.09% (2.6881 2.69)88.91% (-2.684 -2.68)
Score Analysis
    Greece 80.49%
    Lithuania 6.08%
    Draw 13.42%
GreeceDrawLithuania
2-0 @ 14.36% (-0.78 -0.78)
3-0 @ 12.28% (-1.37 -1.37)
1-0 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.869 0.87)
4-0 @ 7.88% (-1.356 -1.36)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.405 0.4)
4-1 @ 4.46% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.04% (-0.954 -0.95)
5-1 @ 2.29% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.399 0.4)
6-0 @ 1.73% (-0.524 -0.52)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.201 0.2)
6-1 @ 0.98% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 80.49%
1-1 @ 6.34% (0.969 0.97)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 2.3% (0.56 0.56)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 13.42%
0-1 @ 2.47% (0.486 0.49)
1-2 @ 1.8% (0.507 0.51)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 6.08%

How you voted: Greece vs Lithuania

Greece
78.0%
Draw
12.2%
Lithuania
9.8%
41
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