Qatar national football team
Friendlies 2
Jun 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Sonnenseestadion
New Zealand national football team

Qatar
0 - 1
New Zealand

FT(HT: 0-1)
Stamenic (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Qatar and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Qatar
Thursday, June 15 at 5pm in International Friendlies

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 4-1 New Zealand
Friday, June 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for New Zealand had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest New Zealand win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
QatarDrawNew Zealand
43.96% (9.81 9.81)22.46% (-4.924 -4.92)33.58% (-4.882 -4.88)
Both teams to score 66.55% (17.028 17.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.08% (22.113 22.11)33.93% (-22.107 -22.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.22% (21.34 21.34)55.78% (-21.336 -21.34)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (14.84 14.84)16.1% (-14.836 -14.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.5% (21.735 21.74)45.5% (-21.73 -21.73)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (7.613 7.61)20.68% (-7.61 -7.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (10.743 10.74)53.27% (-10.737 -10.74)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 43.96%
    New Zealand 33.58%
    Draw 22.46%
QatarDrawNew Zealand
2-1 @ 8.75% (1.146 1.15)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-4.18 -4.18)
2-0 @ 5.55% (-0.471 -0.47)
3-1 @ 5.33% (2.354 2.35)
3-2 @ 4.2% (2.32 2.32)
3-0 @ 3.38% (1.025 1.03)
4-1 @ 2.43% (1.561 1.56)
4-2 @ 1.92% (1.366 1.37)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.852 0.85)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.775 0.78)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-3.377 -3.38)
2-2 @ 6.9% (2.094 2.09)
0-0 @ 3.33% (-5.422 -5.42)
3-3 @ 2.21% (1.416 1.42)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.634 -0.63)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-5.803 -5.8)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-2.842 -2.84)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.521 0.52)
2-3 @ 3.62% (1.602 1.6)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.765 -0.77)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.475 0.48)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.79 0.79)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 33.58%

How you voted: Qatar vs New Zealand

Qatar
63.3%
Draw
23.3%
New Zealand
13.3%
30
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