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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 5, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Valencia logo

Real Madrid
1 - 2
Valencia

Junior (50')
Ancelotti (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diakhaby (15'), Duro (90+5')
Tarrega (10'), Sadiq (46'), Mosquera (90+8'), Aarons (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Valencia score a last-gasp winner through Hugo Duro to record a 2-1 victory over Real Madrid in Saturday's La Liga contest at Bernabeu.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Valencia at Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-4 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, April 1 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Mallorca
Sunday, March 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for Valencia has a probability of 12.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Valencia win it is 1-2 (3.52%).

Result
Real MadridDrawValencia
71.43% (0.84700000000001 0.85) 16.54% (-0.523 -0.52) 12.03% (-0.322 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.99 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.37% (1.744 1.74)33.63% (-1.741 -1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.55% (1.96 1.96)55.45% (-1.958 -1.96)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.7% (0.628 0.63)8.3% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.05% (1.531 1.53)28.95% (-1.53 -1.53)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (0.671 0.67)39.51% (-0.667 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (0.613 0.61)76.2% (-0.61099999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 71.43%
    Valencia 12.03%
    Draw 16.54%
Real MadridDrawValencia
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.502 -0.5)
3-1 @ 7.83% (0.137 0.14)
4-0 @ 5.25% (0.15 0.15)
4-1 @ 4.87% (0.224 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.128 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.61% (0.148 0.15)
5-1 @ 2.43% (0.18 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.26% (0.143 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.102 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.091 0.09)
6-1 @ 1.01% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 71.43%
1-1 @ 7.58% (-0.321 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.306 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.54%
1-2 @ 3.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.04% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 12.03%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Valencia

Real Madrid
83.9%
Draw
8.9%
Valencia
7.1%
112
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 12
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Duro (27')
Canos (69'), Dimitrievski (78')
Modric (85'), Bellingham (90+5')
Ceballos (36'), Vazquez (78'), Modric (87')
Junior (79')
Mar 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Valencia
2-2
Real Madrid
Duro (27'), Yaremchuk (30')
Yaremchuk (4'), Diakhaby (83')
Junior (45+5', 76')
Junior (72'), Valverde (80'), Joselu (90+10')
Bellingham (90+10')
Nov 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Real Madrid
5-1
Valencia
Carvajal (3'), Junior (42', 49'), Rodrygo (50', 84')
Camavinga (62')
Duro (88')
Pepelu (34'), Foulquier (56'), Paulista (67')
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Valencia
1-0
Real Madrid
Lopez (33')
Correia (30'), Kluivert (57'), Comert (70'), Mamardashvili (90+4'), Musah (90+4')

Modric (86'), Rodrygo (86')
Junior (90+7')
Feb 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Asensio (52'), Junior (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo35147145554149
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Valencia351112124351-845
11Osasuna351015104351-845
12Real Sociedad35127163241-943
13Getafe35109163134-339
14Espanyol35109163847-939
15Sevilla35911153949-1038
16GironaGirona35108174153-1238
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3588194057-1732
RReal ValladolidValladolid3544272685-5916


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