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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Sevilla logo

Villarreal
4 - 2
Sevilla

Pino (4'), Gueye (8', 53'), Baena (39')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sow (29'), Martinez Gil (85')
Angel Carmona (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-3 Villarreal
Sunday, May 18 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Real Madrid
Sunday, May 18 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-0 Sevilla

Villarreal are on a roll at the moment, and we are finding it very difficult to back a disappointing Sevilla outfit to halt the Yellow Submarine - it should be a relatively routine home victory for Marcelino's side in their final game of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 19.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawSevilla
58.96% (1.449 1.45) 21.27% (-0.314 -0.31) 19.77% (-1.144 -1.14)
Both teams to score 57.09% (-0.797 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (-0.177 -0.18)40.4% (0.17 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.21% (-0.182 -0.18)62.78% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59% (0.379 0.38)13.4% (-0.385 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.66% (0.765 0.77)40.33% (-0.772 -0.77)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-1.219 -1.22)34.07% (1.211 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (-1.331 -1.33)70.75% (1.324 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 58.96%
    Sevilla 19.77%
    Draw 21.27%
VillarrealDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.328 0.33)
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.115 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.304 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.104 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.1% (0.195 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.061 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 58.96%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.77%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Sevilla

Villarreal
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Sevilla
9.5%
42
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Sevilla
1-2
Villarreal
Lukebakio (45+6')
Romero (45+2'), Angel Carmona (81'), Marcao (90+6')
Danjuma (2'), Perez (90+5')
Baena (45+1'), Danjuma (63'), Bailly (84'), Parejo (88'), Perez (90+9')
May 11, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Villarreal
3-2
Sevilla
Sorloth (30', 90+7'), Mosquera (84')
Cuenca (63'), Reina (76'), Ocampos (78'), Bailly (88')
En-Nesyri (26' pen., 44')
Kouassi (17'), Ocampos (70'), Salas (88'), Ramos (90+7'), Agoume (90+5')
Dec 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Sevilla
1-1
Villarreal
Salas (75')
Sow (45+3'), Sanchez (52'), Rakitic (90+6')
Luis Morales (77')
Pedraza (45'), Marcelino (46'), Altimira (54'), Reina (90+8')
Apr 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Sevilla
2-1
Villarreal
Mir (34'), En-Nesyri (90+4')
Torres (55')
Sep 18, 2022 3.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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