We say: Barcelona 2-2 Villarreal
Villarreal are a quality side, and with Champions League football for next season not yet secure, we are expecting this to be a very tight match. Barcelona's performance may drop a touch due to their title win last time out, which could allow Villarreal to pick up a welcome point in their battle to cement a position in the top five.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.53%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 21.63% and a draw has a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.14%) and 3-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 1-2 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.35%).