League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 0
Burton Albion

McGoldrick (63' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Burton Albion
66.57% ( 0.6)	19.37% ( -0.31)	14.06% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 51.13% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79% (

0.81)

42.21% (

-0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39% (

0.8)

64.61% (

-0.8)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.21% (

0.4)

11.78% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.01% (

0.85)

36.98% (

-0.85)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.96% (

0.1)

42.04% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.53% (

0.09)

78.47% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Derby County 66.56%

Burton Albion 14.06%

Draw 19.37%

Derby County	Draw	Burton Albion
2-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.61% Total : 66.56%	1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.37%	0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.06%

How you voted: Derby vs Burton Albion

Derby County

80.0%

Draw

20.0%

Burton Albion

0.0%

Head to Head

Dec 10, 2022 2pm

gameweek 21

Burton Albion

1-1

Derby

Adeboyejo (79')

Collins (23')
Roberts (46')

Jul 20, 2019 3pm

Pre-season Friendlies

Burton Albion

2-5

Derby

Brayford (22'), Fraser (51')

Waghorn (16', 28', 37'), Bennett (47'), Bird (93')

Apr 14, 2018 3pm

Burton Albion

3-1

Derby

Boyce (24'), Murphy (44'), Akins (68')
Buxton (39'), Brayford (63'), Akpan (77')

Nugent (29')
Huddlestone (49')

Dec 2, 2017 3pm

Derby

1-0

Burton Albion

Russell (81')

Naylor (14'), Flanagan (65')

Feb 21, 2017 7.45pm

Derby

0-0

Burton Albion

Ince (85')

Naylor (69')

Form Guide

Exeter 1-2 Derby

Bristol Rovers 1-1 Derby

Derby 1-1 MK Dons

Forest Green 0-2 Derby

Derby 0-2 Ipswich

Peterborough 2-0 Derby

Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton

Burton Albion 3-2 Sheff Weds

Charlton 3-2 Burton Albion

Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley

Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion

Port Vale 2-3 Burton Albion

World Cup Qualifying - Europe

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - South America

Paraguay

Argentina

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Uruguayan Primera Division

COSAFA Cup

Gallagher Premiership

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Birmingham City Birmingham	46	34	9	3	84	31	53	111
P	Wrexham	46	27	11	8	67	34	33	92
3	Stockport County Stockport	46	25	12	9	72	42	30	87
P	Charlton Athletic Charlton	46	25	10	11	67	43	24	85
5	Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe	46	24	12	10	70	45	25	84
6	Leyton Orient	46	24	6	16	72	48	24	78
7	Reading	46	21	12	13	68	57	11	75
8	Bolton Wanderers Bolton	46	20	8	18	67	70	-3	68
9	Blackpool	46	17	16	13	72	60	12	67
10	Huddersfield Town Huddersfield	46	19	7	20	58	55	3	64
11	Lincoln City Lincoln	46	16	13	17	64	56	8	61
12	Barnsley	46	17	10	19	69	73	-4	61
13	Rotherham United Rotherham	46	16	11	19	54	59	-5	59
14	Stevenage	46	15	12	19	42	50	-8	57
15	Wigan Athletic Wigan	46	13	17	16	40	42	-2	56
16	Exeter City Exeter	46	15	11	20	49	65	-16	56
17	Mansfield Town Mansfield	46	15	9	22	60	73	-13	54
18	Peterborough United Peterborough	46	13	12	21	68	81	-13	51
19	Northampton Town Northampton	46	12	15	19	48	66	-18	51
20	Burton Albion	46	11	14	21	49	66	-17	47
R	Crawley Town Crawley	46	12	10	24	57	83	-26	46
R	Bristol Rovers	46	12	7	27	44	76	-32	43
R	Cambridge United Cambridge	46	9	11	26	45	73	-28	38
R	Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury	46	8	9	29	41	79	-38	33
					> League One Full Table