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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Salford City

Gillingham
0 - 3
Salford City


Reeves (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vassell (54'), Watson (61'), Hendry (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Salford City

Gillingham have been stronger at home than on the road this season, but despite having that improved form it is still unlikely that they will take three points this weekend. Salford City must get back to winning ways in the league to keep the pressure on the other teams pushing for promotion, and that is what they should be able to do here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSalford City
31.73% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 28.07% (-0.3 -0.3) 40.21% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 46.96% (0.871 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41% (1.074 1.07)59% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.53% (0.826 0.83)79.47% (-0.81800000000001 -0.82)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (0.64 0.64)34.12% (-0.633 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (0.681 0.68)70.81% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.64200000000001 0.64)28.72% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.791 0.79)64.55% (-0.785 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 31.72%
    Salford City 40.2%
    Draw 28.06%
GillinghamDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.72%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.8% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 12.22% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 40.2%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Salford City

Gillingham
35.7%
Draw
7.1%
Salford City
57.1%
14
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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