Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
34.17% | 25.47% | 40.36% |
Both teams to score 55.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.87% (![]() | 48.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.71% (![]() | 70.29% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.96% (![]() | 27.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.59% | 62.41% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% | 23.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.3% (![]() | 57.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.35% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 9.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 4.18% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Marseille | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 62 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 61 |
4 | Nice | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 57 |
5 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 57 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 57 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 54 |
8 | Brest | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 50 |
9 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 49 |
10 | Auxerre | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 42 |
11 | Rennes | 33 | 13 | 2 | 18 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 41 |
12 | Toulouse | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 39 |
13 | Angers | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 36 |
14 | Reims | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
15 | NantesNantes | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 33 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 31 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 30 |
R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 76 | -53 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |