Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Troyes0 - 2Clermont
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Troyes
Saturday, April 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, April 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Troyes 1-1 Clermont
With Clermont playing mainly for pride, Troyes must take advantage as they are fighting for their Ligue 1 lives, but holding onto leads is a big problem for them. Since the start of last season, Troyes have dropped a staggering 49 points from winnings positions, opening the scoring on 30 occasions but only winning 10 of those games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Clermont |
34.19% ( -0) | 27.35% ( 0.01) | 38.46% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.63% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
