Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Soldier Field
Chicago Fire2 - 1Atlanta
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Orlando City
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Atlanta 1-1 Nashville
Saturday, May 3 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer
Saturday, May 3 at 7.45pm in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
12
We said: Chicago Fire 2-2 Atlanta United
Neither side have been convincing enough for us to believe there is a decisive edge for one team this weekend, though given how poor they each have been defensively, it could be a fun match to watch for the neutrals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Atlanta United |
50.99% ( 8.2) | 23.92% ( -1.47) | 25.1% ( -6.72) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
