Major League Soccer

May 25, 2025 at 8pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
3 - 1
Chicago Fire

Bakrar (58'), Wolf (70'), Martinez (89' pen.)
Haak (14'), Moralez (28'), Gray (45+3'), Martins (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zinckernagel (19')
Dean (45+1'), Tah D'Avilla (60')
Gutierrez (31'), Tah D'Avilla (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY City 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, May 17 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-4 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
51.75% ( -0.74)	21.99% ( 0.11)	26.25% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 63.3% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.86% (

0.06)

36.14% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.75% (

0.07)

58.25% (

-0.08)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.79% (

-0.22)

14.2% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.07% (

-0.42)

41.93% (

0.41)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

0.48)

26.22% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.68% (

0.64)

61.32% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 51.76%

Chicago Fire 26.25%

Draw 21.99%

New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.52% Total : 51.76%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.99%	1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 26.25%

How you voted: NY City vs Chicago Fire

New York City FC

15.4%

Draw

7.7%

Chicago Fire

76.9%

Head to Head

Aug 25, 2024 12.30am

NY City

2-2

Chicago Fire

Martinez (15', 22')
Gray (50'), Freese (90+3'), Parks (90')

Cuypers (78'), Gutierrez (90+4' pen.)
Gimenez (65'), Navarro (90')

> Preview

Jul 14, 2024 1.30am

Chicago Fire

0-0

NY City

Omsberg (25'), Acosta (45'), Koutsias (80'), Pineda (84')

Haak (21'), Sands (60')

> Preview

Oct 21, 2023 11pm

NY City

1-0

Chicago Fire

Fernandez (64')
Rodriguez (78'), O'Toole (89'), Perea (90+4')

> Preview

Mar 5, 2023 1.30am

Chicago Fire

1-1

NY City

Herbers (75')

Pereira (39')

> Preview

Aug 21, 2022 11pm

Chicago Fire

0-2

NY City

Czichos (18'), Teran (60'), Navarro (77')

Pereira (16'), Rodriguez (46')
Rodriguez (72')

> Preview

Form Guide

NY City 2-0 NY Red Bulls

DC United 0-0 NY City

NY City 0-1 Montreal

NY City 1-0 Cincinnati

Toronto 0-1 NY City

New England 2-0 NY City

Charlotte FC 1-4 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire 2-1 Atlanta

Chicago Fire 0-0 Orlando City

Nashville 7-2 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire 2-3 Cincinnati

Chicago Fire 0-0 Inter Miami

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	14	8	3	3	24	12	12	27
2	Columbus Crew	14	7	5	2	22	18	4	26
3	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	15	8	2	5	21	21	0	26
4	Inter Miami Inter Miami	13	7	3	3	26	19	7	24
5	New York City FC NY City	15	7	3	5	20	17	3	24
6	Nashville SC Nashville	14	6	4	4	24	17	7	22
7	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	14	7	1	6	22	18	4	22
8	Chicago Fire	15	6	4	5	28	28	0	22
9	Orlando City	14	5	6	3	25	18	7	21
10	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	14	6	3	5	21	15	6	21
11	New England Revolution New England	13	6	3	4	15	10	5	21
12	DC United	14	4	4	6	15	26	-11	16
13	Toronto	14	3	4	7	16	19	-3	13
14	Atlanta United Atlanta	15	3	4	8	17	27	-10	13
15	CF Montreal Montreal	14	1	3	10	7	25	-18	6

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	13	8	4	1	24	10	14	28
2	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	14	8	4	2	25	13	12	28
3	Portland Timbers Portland	13	6	4	3	23	20	3	22
4	Seattle Sounders Seattle	14	5	5	4	23	18	5	20
5	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	13	5	4	4	21	20	1	19
6	Colorado Rapids Colorado	13	5	4	4	16	18	-2	19
7	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	14	5	2	7	27	22	5	17
8	Dallas	14	4	5	5	15	22	-7	17
9	Austin FC Austin	14	5	2	7	8	17	-9	17
10	St Louis City	14	3	4	7	11	18	-7	13
11	Houston Dynamo Houston	14	3	4	7	14	22	-8	13
12	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	14	4	1	9	13	21	-8	13
13	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	13	3	2	8	19	23	-4	11
14	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	13	1	4	8	12	29	-17	7
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0