Major League Soccer

Jun 11, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 1
Nashville

Insigne (38', 38')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Leal (69', 69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 1-2 Nashville
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Nashville SC
38.08% ( -0.02)	27.32% ( 0.06)	34.6% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 49.79% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.27% (

-0.25)

55.73% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.13% (

-0.21)

76.87% (

0.21)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.63% (

-0.13)

28.37% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.89% (

-0.17)

64.11% (

0.17)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

-0.15)

30.49% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29% (

-0.18)

66.71% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Toronto 38.07%

Nashville SC 34.6%

Draw 27.32%

Toronto	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.07%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.32%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.6%