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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Selhurst Park
Brighton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brighton

Ayew (45+1')
Mateta (29'), Hughes (50'), Mitchell (54'), Ozoh (85'), Henderson (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Welbeck (82')
Balepa (31'), Julio (57')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion come from behind to draw 1-1 with Crystal Palace in Thursday's M23 derby at Selhurst Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
31.29% (4.947 4.95) 25.18% (1.44 1.44) 43.53% (-6.39 -6.39)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-1.442 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (-3.429 -3.43)47.68% (3.424 3.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-3.246 -3.25)69.88% (3.242 3.24)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (1.776 1.78)28.65% (-1.779 -1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (2.166 2.17)64.46% (-2.17 -2.17)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (-4.07 -4.07)21.89% (4.067 4.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (-6.586 -6.59)55.14% (6.583 6.58)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 31.29%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 43.53%
    Draw 25.17%
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 7.84% (1.387 1.39)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.824 0.82)
2-0 @ 4.9% (1.062 1.06)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.476 0.48)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.519 0.52)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.29%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.78 0.78)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.849 0.85)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 9.53% (0.174 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.551 -0.55)
0-2 @ 7.24% (-0.83 -0.83)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.937 -0.94)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.973 -0.97)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.64 -0.64)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.608 -0.61)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.328 -0.33)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.53%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Crystal Palace
27.3%
Draw
38.3%
Brighton & Hove Albion
34.4%
183
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2023 7.30pm
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Brighton
1-1
Crystal Palace
Andersen (87' og.)
Gallagher (69')
Eze (44'), Hughes (61')
Sep 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (45+2' pen.)
Gallagher (84'), McArthur (90+7')
Maupay (90+5')
Lallana (28'), Cucurella (77'), Trossard (81'), Sanchez (90+7')
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 25
Brighton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Veltman (55')
Burn (53'), Veltman (84')
Mateta (28'), Benteke (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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