Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
57.43% (![]() | 22.4% (![]() | 20.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.92% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% (![]() | 44.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.72% (![]() | 67.28% (![]() |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% (![]() | 15.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.81% (![]() | 44.18% (![]() |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.73% (![]() | 36.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.94% (![]() | 73.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 10.44% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.78% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 57.43% | 1-1 @ 10.59% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.66% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.17% |