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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Fir Park
Aberdeen logo

Motherwell
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Wilson (34'), Maswanhise (45')
Zdravkovski (8'), Maswanhise (15'), Kettlewell (9')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Palaversa (70'), Shinnie (85')
Rubezic (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 1-0 Motherwell
Thursday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-2 Ross County
Thursday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-1 Aberdeen

Both sides will be eager to get back to winning ways and end their ongoing winless streaks here, leading us to expect a tightly-contested encounter, and for that reason, we believe this one will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
37.2% (-0.795 -0.8) 25.68% (-0.152 -0.15) 37.11% (0.945 0.95)
Both teams to score 55.34% (0.559 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24% (0.702 0.7)48.76% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (0.632 0.63)70.87% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.117 -0.12)25.58% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.158 -0.16)60.46% (0.156 0.16)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.86499999999999 0.86)25.63% (-0.868 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (1.164 1.16)60.52% (-1.166 -1.17)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 37.2%
    Aberdeen 37.11%
    Draw 25.67%
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.292 -0.29)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.2%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.143 0.14)
0-2 @ 6.08% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.155 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.76% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.097 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.082 0.08)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.11%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Aberdeen

Motherwell
47.6%
Draw
27.0%
Aberdeen
25.4%
63
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Aberdeen
2-1
Motherwell
Gueye (27', 81')
Heltne Nilsen (23'), Rubezic (64'), Gueye (71'), Besuijen (90+3')
Ebiye (88')
O'Donnell (23'), Zdravkovski (23'), Robinson (52'), Vale (67'), McGinn (85')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Aberdeen
1-0
Motherwell

McGinn (56')
Vale (56')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Motherwell
0-1
Aberdeen

Kettlewell (2'), O'Donnell (85')
Clarkson (25')
Hoilett (1'), Roos (90+2')
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Aberdeen
3-3
Motherwell
Lopes (31', 50'), Gartenmann (37')
MacDonald (83'), Shinnie (90')
Bair (5' pen., 22'), Devine (26')
Nicholson (61'), McGinn (87'), Butcher (90+4'), Kelly (90+5')
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Motherwell
2-4
Aberdeen
Bair (78'), Biereth (90+3')
Butcher (51'), Wilkinson (52'), Spencer (54'), Biereth (59'), Kelly (69'), Zdravkovski (90+4')
McGrath (26', 68'), Devlin (44'), Lopes (74')
Roos (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts54015247552
2Motherwell53114663-1749
3Kilmarnock53024564-1944
4Dundee52125777-2041
5Ross County50233765-2837
RSt Johnstone51043868-3032
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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